Yes, grown up and going to be more devastating than ever!
Before the race I said that this would be his toughest race ... Well, over 8 furlongs at least, that still looks to be the case?
I said before the race if he failed to settle, or pulled too hard, or set off too quick, it might cost him. He did none of these things. He is now a proper racehorse ... a seriously good proper racehorse mind!
I said before the race how hard it is for horses who finish on a high mark to pick up where they left off, where previously they had a whole season to build to that point. FRANKEL makes a mockery of such thoughts, after finishing last season on a pinnacle world-wide BHA rating of 136, on my figures he has just added another 3, first time out, which could see him add another 6? 8? 10lbs to that by the end of the season?
Fortunately, I also said before the race, that he looked like he would be better when he 'grew up'. I think we can safely say he has done that.
So what of the future? Well over 8f you will be lucky if you see 1/5 odds. In a true run race, no dangers, and at last it seems there is a jockey and horse combination who understand what a pacemaker should do. Top marks to Ian Mongan and Bullet Train, they did it to perfection. Which is why the time of the race was relatively so much faster than the other races on the cards. If that is repeated every time there is not a horse who will get near him this season ... over a mile.
Dropping back to 7f to go head to head with Black Caviar might be closer, but the latter tends to just keep up a fast tempo, not that acceleration the moment the reins are loosened. Closer, but no danger to his unbeaten record.
For me, the serious challenge will come when he goes toe to toe with Cirrus Des Aigles over 10f, as he surely will before he goes off to stud at the end of the season?
When he tries that distance is another matter. Off to Royal Ascot over a mile, then maybe to York over 10f?
He needs to have one run over that trip before, say, Champions Day at Ascot? If it proves he handles 10f in the same manner as 8f, with the same acceleration at the end, then surely the 'Arc' will be at the back of everyone's mind?
However, just to put things into perspective, the next 'Frankel', Camelot, who won the 2000gns , on my figures would have beaten Bullet Train by 1.5 lengths ... so Frankel would be a further 7.5 lengths ahead!
Yes, Camelot is expected to be better over further, and on better ground, but when you are talking superstars, there is only one , and FRANKEL is his name.
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