Friday 29 July 2011

GOODWOOD - Saturday

Let's not waste time on the details:

3.10 Goodwood - Group 1 : SNOW FAIRY

... Oh, if you insist:

MIDDAY:
On winning this last year she gets my second top rating. She clearly handles the track well, and that rating would probably be enough to win in any normal year.
However, despite the stable going well, Midday has been below that level in all three runs this season. Excusable last time, and maybe the time before, ... and maybe her first time out performance??? Alternatively, she is not quite as good as last season?

CRYSTAL CAPELLA:
Does not race many times a year, and she has a dislike of fast ground - it is likely to be fast today, unless they get a tad more the the morning drizzle predicted?
She is my top-rated on her last performance, and if she could reproduce that on today' going she would have a chance.

SNOW FAIRY:
No chance on the ratings I have, or on her last run behind Midday ...
But apart from the fact I love her to bits, her international performances are simply amazing. She too, is a winner here. She likes fast ground, and should be fitter than last time.
If the real Snow Fairy is here today she will dispatch this field with her customary late burst.

Conclusion:
Should I have bothered with all that when I had made my mind when I knew she was entered for the race .... probably not?

1st - SNOW FAIRY

On other races:

2.05 Goodwood:

To me it points to a high drawn winner, and NOVELLEN LAD and GOLDEN DESERT would be my best, the latter ran well earlier in the week.

3.45 Goodwood:

Whilst most will take the above as a pointer, and it should see the low drawn horses drift in the market this race has a better balance across the track. So my best are, one from each wing and one in the middle:
high - TIDDLIWINKS;
middle - EVENS AND ODDS;
low - MON CADEAUX.

Tiddliwinks will like the drop back into this company, and always runs his race.

Evens And Odds is clear top on last year's win, but will have to be back at that level today.

Mon Cadeaux has a handy weight and the far rail to run against. He should have a good tussle with Mac's power on that far side ... if it is the right place to be?

2.35 Goodwood:

ICON DREAM and PETARA BAY have both been staying on too late, but I fancy the former might get it right today?

4.20 Goodwood:

The better 2yo's are coming out now, so I steer clear of these sort of races.
NAWWAAR is best of those with a run.

4.55 Goodwood:

Similar to above, as ratings are more centered around where they ran, but I have TELL DAD on a better mark than the one he has been give by the handicapper.

5.35 Goodwood:

Finally EDGEWATER has a decent draw and may just like this course?

And as a pointer to the above, note how well KAY GEE BE runs in the 3.55 at Donny. has every chance on his earlier run with the above.

Have a good day.

p.s. Somewhat disappointed in that they are looking for an excuse for Canford Cliffs's run against Frankel.
Perhaps they will find something amiss?

To me it was simply a case of what I warned of in my last remarks ... If Hughes tries to stay with Frankel because he think it has the pace, it would be a mistake. It was!
That day Frankel did put it all together and showed what a brilliant horse he is.

I just hope he takes on So You Think over 10f, and gets a similar result. So You Think slows up after running strongly in the middle of the race ... FRANKEL doesn't!

Hat's off to the trainer for keeping the instructions simple, and allowing Queally to race as jockey, not someone following tight instructions, because he showed that the partnership he has with Frankel is absolutely fine.
Pity his career may seem like an anticlimax when Frankel retires?

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