Saturday 3 September 2011

Saturday 2nd September

Apologies for gaps between blogs. My ratings are running about 3 weeks behind, so not quite as accurate as they should be. I am hoping to close the gap in time for the St Leger though.

Today is not a blog in the normal sense, for example

3.35 Haydock:

5 horses covered by 2lbs at the top of my ratings does not make for a compelling betting heat.
Add to that the declared going is GOOD, but as heavy rain is forecast it will turn to heavy very quickly. I advise everybody to wait nearer the off because there will be several withdrawals, including 3 of the top 6 in the betting.

6.45 Leopardstown:

Similar to the above, the bad weather is coming from the direction of Ireland, so the going will not suit Snow Fairy. Unless they are running out of options I would think she is a doubtful runner. I just hope they can find a race before the 'Arc, and hope it dries out there in October.
It is a shame for today, as for once she has the the fast pace to suit her.
SO YOU THINK is the most likely winner as he will set it up for himself. Plus the opposition outside of the O'Brien yard is not that strong(in the absence of Snow Fairy). Not that the probable favourite is unbeatable with something with a good turn of foot. Alas, FAMOUS NAME is a bit lacking in that department, but may be close in a slog to the line.
Dunboyne Express has not improve his rating this season, and despite liking soft ground is more likely to struggle with the back markers.
My guess will be that Roderick O'Connor will be the early leader and it will be RECITAL will be the main rival to his stable companion.
Not a betting proposition though.
Given quick ground, SNOW FAIRY to win .... in the real world full of dark clouds, SYT has it to lose.

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