Monday 23 May 2011

Monday, Monday ..

Only a couple of races higher than Class 4 - out of 26!?!

Leicester 4.15: JACQUELINE QUEST

Not a betting proposition, given she will be odds on. With the exception of SADDLERS BEND who ran 2 days ago, none of the others have exceeded their current OR. But as this is not a h'cap, it does not help her either. My next best on ratings is NABAH, and that does not have to improve much to grab the forecast position.

Windsor 7.40: BATED BREATH

Another likely to be a short priced favourite, but it is not quite as clear cut as it may first appear?
He won very well last time, and has a rating for this level. However, he has not always been that consistent, and has failed at this level twice. On the plus side, many of these in a similar position, i.e top-class h'cappers not quite up to this grade. On the downside, there are three who have won/ run well in this grade;

LIBRANNO - this receives the most weight as a 3yo against it elders. Still not recorded anything like his best 2yo figure, but improved last time out.

MONSIEUR CHEVALIER - Lot to do after a long lay off, but if somewhere near his best he would certainly rattle the favourite's cage.

TRIPLE ASPECT - This one shook off any Meydan blues with a fine run behind Delegator. He got a rating which is 7lbs off the top one, but, more importantly he is dropping down 2 grades. Not that consistent, but his last run was most encouraging. At the current odds, my idea of a reasonable bet given there are doubts about most of the field?

Have a good day.

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