TREWARTHENICK

Rated race follows Top Spot

TREWARTHENICK 77 plus 12lbs

Only a modest Class 5, but it was clear best at a fairly poor Chepstow card. I would not like it to try C4 next time because of that, but without a massive hike in its official rating it should be okay.

Best at Carlisle were BRUSHING plus 8lbs and Lake Chini plus 11lbs. The latter at C6 level note!

Goodwood had some very quick times for going described as 'Good', but as the Class 6 rated KILBURN came out best with a plus 14 lbs, suggests something strange? Perhaps the round course was a whole lot quicker than the straight. CLASS IS CLASS pushed his rating up another 8lbs, but unless the times were awry, it needs to do more if he goes up a grade?

Leicester's best was probably ARABIAN PEARL who moved her rating up to 80, plus 11lbs in the C4 fillies h'cap. Still able to find a race within that level, so can also be noted for the future.

The other big improver was CHANNEL CROSSING in the Apprentice race, so could run again without penalty. I have it on 61 which is plus 14lbs, so racing in a similar grade it will have a fair bit in hand?

Finally Redcar, where not surprisingly, FORTE DEL MARMI ran the quickest relative time, getting another 6lbs on his 92. However, FEEL THE HEAT could be interesting as the next quickest, but that depends on the Handicapper how well in it will be ... high 60's fine, but any more than that, it will be difficult methimks?

That concludes the round-up from yesterday. There has yet to be a 'Top Spot' to run again, but I am keeping a close eye out for them because they should be worth the wait.

RATED RACE -simplified version! (Too much analysis of late??)

4 o'clock REDCAR:

In my ratings order. With weight today to 9st7lbs

EVELYN MAY - 80 86

MULLGEN - 79 80

INCOMPARABLE - 77 77

DISPOL KYLIE - 77 80

DESPERATE DAN - 76 82

LUCKY ART - 74 81

LUCKY DAN -74 78

SELECT COMMITEE - 72 82

However, if you want my 'class' adjustments, which brings together C5 and C4 ratings from the various courses the picture changes a fair bit.

EVELYN MAY and INCOMPARABLE go well clear on the strength of their Class 4 Newmarket race, and with the former looking a little unlucky in the race??? Does not win often, but 5f is her trip.

The next best are Lucky Art, Mullglen, and Dispol Kylie. The last named would like a strong pace, so with none guaranteed, it may pay you 'in-running' punters to wait and see if it is run strongly, then pile in for a place bet? Mullglen doesn't usually run two races close together, and as he is tight on runnings with Lucky Art, he will probably just get edged out this time.

There, that was better ... let us hope the result is!!!!

Best of luck on your choices.

Gerry

Afterthoughts ...

None, I had a good night's sleep so I am running late!