Friday 18 June 2010

R.ASCOT-Saturday-June19

2.30 CHESHAM STAKES Listed 7f

No selection -reasons given in earlier blog.

3.05 HARDWICKE STAKES G3 12f

114 HARBINGER
106 ALAINMAAR
105 JUKEBOX JURY
105 DUNCAN

Summary - Harbinger's win at Chester was an improvement, but still 2lbs below OR. Chester form does not always get confirmed at Ascot, and his next best is only 106 ... and that makes it a much more open race than the betting suggests? Despite that, he should still win, but Alainmaar will push him all the way.
No bet for me.

3.50 GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES G1 6f

113 PRIME DEFENDER
113 SOCIETY ROCK
112 TOTAL GALLERY
111 SIR GERRY
110 TRIPLE ASPECT
108 SERIOUS ATTITUDE

Summay - I have extended the list just to show how incredibly tight it is amongst the 'home based' runners, but as there is a host of top class overseas contenders it is, however, another no selection race. If you can ignore Total Gallery's run on Tuesday, then he would have a chance. However, it appears at the moment his attitude is not to try too hard? Sir Gerry and Society Rock are both improving ... BUT ... from Listed class. Which means they may not match their ratings in this company. Prime Defender I never had as one of the most consistent, so to win 3 on the trot is probably too much to ask. That leaves Triple Aspect as a possible ew from those rated .... the list is too long to name all those without a current rating!

4.25 WOKINGHAM STAKES Class 2 Handicap 6f

(weight adj)
124 GENKI
121 JIMMY STYLES
118 PALACE MOON
115 RILEYSKEEPINGFAITH

Summary - Having just checked with the 'In Runnung' section (I'll give it plug because it can be very informative - especially when Ben Hutton is doing the research!) and it appears that the more guaranteed pace, courtesy of Mac Gille Eoin, means the far side may be favoured. Which is lucky, as it include my top two! But if something does take them along nearside, then I would expect Palace Moon to be in the shake up. For further info on my 2nd and 3rd rated, can I point you in the direction of my Sunday blog (4.15 Salisbury).
There are a few close up behind Rileys', but he may have the hard edge to keep them at bay.

5.00 DUKE OF EDINBURGH Handicap Class2 12f

(weight adj)
121 MYSTERY STAR
110 IMPOSING
108 CLASSIC VINTAGE
106 FINAL VICTORY

Summary - If Mystery Star handles the very fast ground he looks to have it on this mark. Imposing was impressive in his win and should come on for the run. However, for a horse who has not had much racing it would be no surprise if he is taken out? Classic Vintage, with Murtagh on board, should go well. Final Victory has a bit to find, and fast ground does not usually favour low weights. Plus, there are three others within a couple of lbs, so that will be a tighter battle - Cill Rialaig 105; Sweet Lightning 105; Dangerous Midge 104.

5.35 QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES Class 2 Non-handicap 22f

Ratings for these extreme distances are unreliable, No selection.

Well that concludes my Ascot blogs. I hope you have all done well from the info provided. For a change I am in profit too! Have a good day.
Gerry

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