Musselburgh April 7

MUSSELBURGH - 3.20 7f

Yes, another toe in the water after the Donny shambles. Two big mistakes - One not rating ALL horses before eliminating them. Secondly, thinking that they would split into two groups.

That said, all four finished out of the money, but it is that time of year when you rely a lot on horses being fit enough to run to their ratings.

Interesting though that my big disappointment in the Lincoln, COCOZZA, is turning out so soon in at Kempton. Interesting, because he did not settle in that race, as I hoped he would, so perhaps the trainer might think it will take a bit of the 'fizz' out of him? Drawn 5, so every chance of dropping in behind the early leaders ... but will he settle? Not surprising few are risking any money on him this time, but in pure handicapping terms he has a few pounds to spare, but it is a strong line up with proven AW performers in the race ... We shall see?

MUSS - 3.20 7f is my feature race, mainly because I feel the the top two in the betting are vulnerable.

The selection is: PRIME EXHIBIT

This horse does not win very often but things look set right for him today.

Recent run at Wolverhampton in a fair race for the AW should put him right.

Not drawn too good, given the bend kicks in soon after the start, but he has the first and second favourites close by. Nevertheless, he will need some luck in running.

The excellent Lee Topliss, still claiming 3lbs, is on board.

Finally, the mark he is on today is around gives him a chance, but his best is a good bit higher.

LAYA'S HERO is drawn worst of the three at the head of the market. He ran a good race at Donny last Sunday, so fitness should not be a problem.

JEANNIE GALLOWAY ran okay behind Croisultan in Ireland last time, but tends to win at a lower grade. Certainly a danger, and drawn just inside the selection.

Conclusion: At a round about 5/1 Prime Exhibit is worth a small investment.

Have a good day ....

p.s. For the observant among you, you will note the sly bit of editing when I realised I got my wires crossed at 6.am this morning? Not only that, the available 5/1 has all gone now. At the current odds I would not be overly confident, given a fit outsider who is drawn on the inside could easily bring about a shock result ... I just don't have any recommendations on who that might be though, sorry.