1.45 York 14f
BERLING looks the type to do well in this, but I think he is weighted up to his best, so improvement needed. I have a curious fascination for a big outsider though. It has got a bad draw, did not appear to stay the trip last time, and his pedigree shares that view ... yet he looks like he has been laid out for this race?? DEAUVILLE POST is the horse I am thinking of - Hannon trained, with a good lightweight jockey on board, currently 60/1 on Betfair and likely to get bigger for all the above reasons ...but???
2.15 York 9f
I do not share the view that Rainbow Peak is a good thing. The time at Ascot was not that good. He got beat here first time out over this distance, and may well find another to run him out of it. Kings Gambit franked the form here next time though, when second to Wigmore Hall(and should have got it in the stewards room to boot! - oops, pocket talking), but the shorter trip will not help him. With Poet out, Rio Del La Plata may be the biggest threat if it stays on the fast side. Then you have Cesare, Confront, and Halicarnassus all having to come back to their best - any one of whom may well do? But I fancy a small ew on DISTANT MEMORIES who is stepping up in grade. I have him on 112 which puts him within touching distance of the best here if he can reproduce that at this level?
2.50 York 7f
Skysurfers and Red Jazz will be very popular, but my guess is the morning gamble will be on PALACE MOON. With Fallon in such good form here, and the second to St Moritz is rock solid. Interestingly his first try at 7f, and what a belter? (if you have been following my blogs this week you will know that the 3rd race is the one I have been picking the winners, another good sign??)
3.25 York 5f Nunthorpe Stakes
My heart is split in two here, as I have been a big fan of Equiano ... but then you have Borderlescott. Who can fail to like this 100% tryer?
Of course in this race you have Starspngledbanner too? Having listened to what they said on RUK yesterday, it may be a mistake if they make a bee line for the stands rail. But I get the feeling Starspangledbanner will, simply because if he does not and they do come across, he may well be chopped for room
I also think Equiano will run straight as a gun barrel down the middle. Why change now? And with the stalls on the far Borderlescott is more likely to run his race down the middle. Throw in Kingsgate Native(Fallon) and Fleeting Spirit(Dettori) and it looks a fascinating race to behold.
If the rain holds off I would favour EQUIANO because of his straightforward running, especially over 5f. I just hope Borderlescott comes back sound!
No views on the last two races.
Have a good day, Gerry
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