Sunday, 6 May 2012

1000 GUINEAS DAY ....

Arrh, the 2000gns  ... it went just as I pictured it ... 'The main group coming down the stands side, my selection overtaking his national compatriot and storm several clear up the hill, with the far side group trailing, because they were so few, and did not get into the race when it mattered'
Yes, I can remember it like it was yesterday ...
B*&^**^^ks!!
That is the trouble with old age ... you do remember things like yesterday, but things change in the meantime. There was me picturing the race from the stalls, looking down the track, horse drawn 1-18 from the left ...... It was only about 5 hours later(around 11.0am) did I have the thought that the inside of the track would be the far side ... where the low numbers start?
Right, having got that straight. Congrats to the winner, he did indeed dispel most of the doubts I had about him. It would have been interesting had the groups been reversed though? Not too unhappy with my predictions though, apart from Camelot, the horses I thought would be involved, were by and large, the ones that filled the minor honours. Hermival ran a grand race considering he took over from Abtaal a good 2f out, but was only briefly on terms with the stand side group. Good each way value though?

Having got that straight, on to today's race

Newmarket 3.15 - 1000 GUINEAS:

MASHOORA.

She has to be the selection given the strong showing of the French raiders yesterday. I did not think they would win both races, but I fancied this one much more. To begin her career in two Group 3's, finishing 2nd in both is pretty good. However, she has now continued that progress into her 3yo career  and is something that not many in this race can boast. In my preview blog I said I wanted to be drawn near HOMECOMING QUEEN as I felt she would lead for a long way into the race. Noting that the two big field races after yesterdays big one went overwhelmingly to low drawn horses, so being drawn 3 and 2 respectively for the above two, I have everything in place for a good run?
The selection is not so ground dependent, but if it really dried out to genuine good ground I think my higher rated horse - DISCOURSE would be the main danger. I am again opposing the favourite MAYBE because she has to prove her well being this year. With a similar profile to the well backed Power yesterday, who faded badly, an both had a lot of races last year? LYRIC OF LIGHT will have to overcome the sticky ground. MOONSTONE MAGIC has to improve a lot, and I cannot see why DIALA will come from a class 5 maiden auction to win this??
My each way selection is still LA COLLINA, However, I would like to wait to hear the paddock view. If she looks to have improved a lot in physical appearance and well being I can see her running a big race. Her run behind MAYBE last time may have come a bit quick after a tough one beating the colts only 3 weeks before. I fully expect her to finish in front of the favourite if she pleases the eye in the paddock. The 8f should be no problem on her breeding, and she will be the closest to bringing off an Irish double. She is drawn in middle, which is great as she will come with a late rattle.
So there it is, another French/Irish one two, only in the reverse order from yesterday.

The big sprint handicap that is next on the card is interesting as most of the top order in the betting are drawn high, except the favourite, SEAL ROCK, who is on the low side(1 in fact). I have doubts about it following up the good win last time, as he has been hit hard by the h'capper, and the possible lack of pace over there. COLONEL MAK will help, but is it enough between them?

I have a sneaky each way selection at a biggish price - IRISH HEARTBEAT.
He goes well fresh, has won on the course, and his last run behind Secret Asset over York's short 6f would not have played to his strengths being 7f winner. The figures from that race are sound and has a reasonable chance if drawn 10 is not too much of a disadvantage? He will be staying on at the finish that is for sure.

Have a good day ....

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