1.15 Chester: CAPTAIN BERTIE
Only joint top-rated, but on this season's form. Good draw balanced by an excessively short price?
The other joint is the top weight SHAFGAAN. He may well get a place if his last run has brought him on?
2.20 Chester: DREAM EATER
Not surprising he is top rated ... he runs in all good races and gets close to top class winners. Winning himself is another matter? Hence not a selection. It will be interesting how the h'cappers do, but it looks like it will be between the two yet to race this season?
2.55 Chester: MADAWI
Not a selection either, as is yet to prove the rating from last year. SLUMBER would be my choice. True, NATHANIEL would have been 4th in this years 2000gns if repeating his 2nd to Frankel from last year. That apart he has got to be a whole lot better here. I am not saying the selection beat much at Epsom, but at least this course might suit? However, his winning time was good. Pace will be the problem here I fear?
4.05 Chester: CLASSIC COLORI.
Repeating much of what I have said about previous top-rated, this one gets his from a middle of the field run behind Ransom Note last year. Nothing much either side of it to match? Next rated is JUTLAND, but you have know just how fit he is, and Mark Johnston's horse are a bit hit and miss in that respect. If there is money for him then he has a very good chance is all I would say.
THIN RED LINE is the danger if he repeats last year's first run. Course experience is a big plus here.
4.40 Chester: SATIN LOVE
Another Johnston runner, but with a hopeless draw? Previous selection BOUNDARIES fares slightly better in that respect, and has a chance if getting back to 2010 level.
5.10 Chester: GRANSTON and TRES CORONAS joint.
I have very few of these rated because this Class 3 event seems to be filled with Class4 horses?
The exception being the top weight NORMAN ORPEN. He at least drops down from a Class 2, where he was drawn on the wrong side at Doncaster. He was fancied that day and has missed a few opportunities since, so comes here fresh. Having done his winning on the AW, he may find this track to his liking, bit like a grassy version of Wolverhampton if you like?
He has a poor draw to overcome, and an extra two furlongs to boot. But if he can cope with those obstacles, he should have the edge on this lot.
Have a good day ...
p.s Yesterday went more or less as I thought. Lily's Angel got the pace and duly won. Fork Handles did get a place. Icon Dream was only inches away from a place. (I'm being selective here, but 5/1 the field was dodgy). Breathless Kiss did finish nearer last, but through no fault of his own .... 'Falasteen is probably the most straight forward ...' duly jinked right at the start and took him out! Colombian was the race fit one, but I still like Tanfeeth in the longer term. The pair 10 lengths clear. The last race was fought out by the only two who were seriously backed. That's Chester for you?
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