2.10 GOOD WOOD
I have only looked at the main players here, and most ratings match their Official h'cap mark ... with one exception;
THEOLA - 98 plus 17lbs
Don't get too carried away as that was in a class 2 at Chester. Fastest comparative time on the day, carrying 10st. Now up 2 grades, over further? But with Betair offering 9/1 currently, it could run a good race with only 8.12lbs? Remember, all of that 16lbs is because of the rise in class - plus 2lbs rise for winning. At Chester all horses were rated inferior to her, most are better here!!
3.25 GOODWOOD - SUSSEX STAKES
If I thought these runners were all 100% there would only be one selection -RIP VAN WINKLE.
Alas, this is not the case. I have only 2lbs separating Canford Cliffs from Premier Loco, but both ran below their OR's last time out? Neither are within 20lbs RVW's last year's rating though.
I will sit this one out. For those who do the 'in running' plays, it may be an idea to see if Beethoven is their as a pacemaker or to run on its own merits?
4.00 GOODWOOD
Nightmare! I have only found one horse that has a better rating than its OR - Sea Of heartbreak, and that only by 2lbs .... a placepot buster of a race!
4.35 GOODWOOD
ROYALORIEN set a good standard as its debut was run in a very good time.
I am out of time to do any justice to the last 2 races. Have a good day
Gerry
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